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Premier League

00 · Overview

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02 · Match

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Premier League

Arsenal v Coventry City

These figures may be out of date. Last updated 1:17 AM EDT

Scoreline

ARS

Arsenal

ARS

3–0

FT

Fri, Aug 21, 3:00 PM EDT

COV

Coventry City

COV

Half time 2–0

Match record

1

Matchday

Played

Result status

Premier League

Competition

Projection

Prediction algorithm

Arsenal to win

56% most likely

1–1
Likely score: 1.82–0.96
Expected goals

ARS 56%
Draw 26%
COV 18%

53%
Both teams score: 53%
Over 2.5 goals: 38%
ARS clean sheet: 16%
COV clean sheet

Why

The home side has the tighter defensive record.
Expected goals: 1.82 for the home side, 0.96 for the away side.

Events and statistics

Not tracked

Goal events, lineups, and shot statistics are outside what PitchIQ records. They are left out rather than estimated.

Home and away scoring rates are estimated separately from results.

Low-scoring draws are corrected upward, which independent Poisson under-counts.

What this does not know

Injuries, suspensions, lineups, and in-play events are not accounted for.
Thin samples are pulled toward the league average until more is played.

How this prediction is calculated

Arsenal v Coventry City · PitchIQ