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Premier League

00 · Overview

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02 · Match

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Premier League

Fulham v Chelsea

These figures may be out of date. Last updated 1:18 AM EDT

Scoreline

FUL

Fulham

FUL

2–3

FT

Mon, Aug 24, 3:00 PM EDT

CHE

Chelsea

CHE

Half time 1–2

Match record

1

Matchday

Played

Result status

Premier League

Competition

Projection

Prediction algorithm

Fulham to win

40% most likely

1–1
Likely score: 1.58–1.44
Expected goals

FUL 40%
Draw 27%
CHE 33%

62%
Both teams score: 58%
Over 2.5 goals: 24%
FUL clean sheet: 21%
CHE clean sheet

Why

The away side scores 27% more often than the home side, relative to the league.
Expected goals: 1.58 for the home side, 1.44 for the away side.

Events and statistics

Not tracked

Goal events, lineups, and shot statistics are outside what PitchIQ records. They are left out rather than estimated.

Fulham v Chelsea · PitchIQ

Home and away scoring rates are estimated separately from results.

Low-scoring draws are corrected upward, which independent Poisson under-counts.

What this does not know

Injuries, suspensions, lineups, and in-play events are not accounted for.
Thin samples are pulled toward the league average until more is played.

How this prediction is calculated