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Premier League

00 · Overview

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02 · Match

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Premier League

Man United v Aston Villa

Updated 1:16 AM EDT

Scoreline

MUN

Man United

MUN

vs

Scheduled

Sun, Nov 8, 11:30 AM EST

AVL

Aston Villa

AVL

Match record

10

Matchday

Not played

Result status

No score exists yet for this fixture

Premier League

Competition

Projection

Prediction algorithm

Man United to win

45% most likely

1–1
Likely score: 1.60–1.22
Expected goals

MUN 45%
Draw 28%
AVL 28%

58%
Both teams score: 53%
Over 2.5 goals: 30%
MUN clean sheet: 20%
AVL clean sheet

Why

Expected goals: 1.60 for the home side, 1.22 for the away side.
Home and away scoring rates are estimated separately from results.

Events and statistics

Not tracked

Goal events, lineups, and shot statistics are outside what PitchIQ records. They are left out rather than estimated.

Man United v Aston Villa · PitchIQ

Low-scoring draws are corrected upward, which independent Poisson under-counts.

What this does not know

Injuries, suspensions, lineups, and in-play events are not accounted for.
Thin samples are pulled toward the league average until more is played.

How this prediction is calculated