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Premier League

00 · Overview

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02 · Match

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Premier League

Crystal Palace v Man City

These figures may be out of date. Last updated 1:17 AM EDT

Scoreline

CRY

Crystal Palace

CRY

1–4

FT

Fri, Aug 28, 3:00 PM EDT

MCI

Man City

MCI

Half time 0–1

Match record

2

Matchday

Played

Result status

Premier League

Competition

Projection

Prediction algorithm

Man City to win

50% most likely

1–1
Likely score: 1.39–1.97
Expected goals

CRY 26%
Draw 24%
MCI 50%

66%
Both teams score: 65%
Over 2.5 goals: 14%
CRY clean sheet: 25%
MCI clean sheet

Why

The away side scores 27% more often than the home side, relative to the league.
The away side has the tighter defensive record.

Events and statistics

Not tracked

Goal events, lineups, and shot statistics are outside what PitchIQ records. They are left out rather than estimated.

Crystal Palace v Man City · PitchIQ

Expected goals: 1.39 for the home side, 1.97 for the away side.

Home and away scoring rates are estimated separately from results.

Low-scoring draws are corrected upward, which independent Poisson under-counts.

What this does not know

Injuries, suspensions, lineups, and in-play events are not accounted for.
Thin samples are pulled toward the league average until more is played.

How this prediction is calculated