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Premier League

00 · Overview

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02 · Match

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Premier League

Tottenham v Newcastle

These figures may be out of date. Last updated 1:16 AM EDT

Scoreline

TOT

Tottenham

TOT

0–2

FT

Sat, Aug 29, 12:30 PM EDT

NEW

Newcastle

NEW

Half time 0–0

Match record

2

Matchday

Played

Result status

Premier League

Competition

Projection

Prediction algorithm

Tottenham to win

47% most likely

1–1
Likely score: 1.81–1.34
Expected goals

TOT 47%
Draw 26%
NEW 27%

63%
Both teams score: 61%
Over 2.5 goals: 26%
TOT clean sheet: 16%
NEW clean sheet

Why

Expected goals: 1.81 for the home side, 1.34 for the away side.
Home and away scoring rates are estimated separately from results.

Events and statistics

Not tracked

Goal events, lineups, and shot statistics are outside what PitchIQ records. They are left out rather than estimated.

Tottenham v Newcastle · PitchIQ

Low-scoring draws are corrected upward, which independent Poisson under-counts.

What this does not know

Injuries, suspensions, lineups, and in-play events are not accounted for.
Thin samples are pulled toward the league average until more is played.

How this prediction is calculated