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Premier League

00 · Overview

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02 · Match

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Premier League

Leeds United v Brentford

These figures may be out of date. Last updated 1:16 AM EDT

Scoreline

LEE

Leeds United

LEE

1–1

FT

Sun, Aug 30, 9:00 AM EDT

BRE

Brentford

BRE

Half time 0–1

Match record

2

Matchday

Played

Result status

Premier League

Competition

Projection

Prediction algorithm

Leeds United to win

45% most likely

1–1
Likely score: 1.59–1.21
Expected goals

LEE 45%
Draw 28%
BRE 28%

57%
Both teams score: 53%
Over 2.5 goals: 30%
LEE clean sheet: 20%
BRE clean sheet

Why

Expected goals: 1.59 for the home side, 1.21 for the away side.
Home and away scoring rates are estimated separately from results.

Events and statistics

Not tracked

Goal events, lineups, and shot statistics are outside what PitchIQ records. They are left out rather than estimated.

Leeds United v Brentford · PitchIQ

Low-scoring draws are corrected upward, which independent Poisson under-counts.

What this does not know

Injuries, suspensions, lineups, and in-play events are not accounted for.
Thin samples are pulled toward the league average until more is played.

How this prediction is calculated