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Premier League

00 · Overview

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02 · Match

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Premier League

Man City v Coventry City

These figures may be out of date. Last updated 1:16 AM EDT

Scoreline

MCI

Man City

MCI

1–0

FT

Sat, Sep 5, 10:00 AM EDT

COV

Coventry City

COV

Half time 1–0

Match record

3

Matchday

Played

Result status

Premier League

Competition

Projection

Prediction algorithm

Man City to win

56% most likely

1–1
Likely score: 2.02–1.14
Expected goals

MCI 56%
Draw 24%
COV 20%

60%
Both teams score: 61%
Over 2.5 goals: 32%
MCI clean sheet: 13%
COV clean sheet

Why

The home side scores 32% more often than the away side, relative to the league.
The home side has the tighter defensive record.

Events and statistics

Not tracked

Goal events, lineups, and shot statistics are outside what PitchIQ records. They are left out rather than estimated.

Man City v Coventry City · PitchIQ

Expected goals: 2.02 for the home side, 1.14 for the away side.

Home and away scoring rates are estimated separately from results.

Low-scoring draws are corrected upward, which independent Poisson under-counts.

What this does not know

Injuries, suspensions, lineups, and in-play events are not accounted for.
Thin samples are pulled toward the league average until more is played.

How this prediction is calculated