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Premier League

00 · Overview

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02 · Match

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Premier League

Everton v Man United

These figures may be out of date. Last updated 1:16 AM EDT

Scoreline

EVE

Everton

EVE

2–2

FT

Sun, Sep 6, 9:00 AM EDT

MUN

Man United

MUN

Half time 0–0

Match record

3

Matchday

Played

Result status

Premier League

Competition

Projection

Prediction algorithm

Everton to win

42% most likely

1–1
Likely score: 1.43–1.15
Expected goals

EVE 42%
Draw 29%
MUN 29%

54%
Both teams score: 48%
Over 2.5 goals: 32%
EVE clean sheet: 24%
MUN clean sheet

Why

Expected goals: 1.43 for the home side, 1.15 for the away side.
Home and away scoring rates are estimated separately from results.

Events and statistics

Not tracked

Goal events, lineups, and shot statistics are outside what PitchIQ records. They are left out rather than estimated.

Everton v Man United · PitchIQ

Low-scoring draws are corrected upward, which independent Poisson under-counts.

What this does not know

Injuries, suspensions, lineups, and in-play events are not accounted for.
Thin samples are pulled toward the league average until more is played.

How this prediction is calculated