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Premier League

00 · Overview

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02 · Match

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Premier League

Ipswich Town v Sunderland

These figures may be out of date. Last updated 1:16 AM EDT

Scoreline

IPS

Ipswich Town

IPS

2–1

FT

Sat, Aug 22, 10:00 AM EDT

SUN

Sunderland

SUN

Half time 1–1

Match record

1

Matchday

Played

Result status

Premier League

Competition

Projection

Prediction algorithm

Ipswich Town to win

48% most likely

1–1
Likely score: 1.75–1.24
Expected goals

IPS 48%
Draw 26%
SUN 26%

60%
Both teams score: 58%
Over 2.5 goals: 29%
IPS clean sheet: 17%
SUN clean sheet

Why

The home side scores 12% more often than the away side, relative to the league.
Expected goals: 1.75 for the home side, 1.24 for the away side.

Events and statistics

Not tracked

Goal events, lineups, and shot statistics are outside what PitchIQ records. They are left out rather than estimated.

Ipswich Town v Sunderland · PitchIQ

Home and away scoring rates are estimated separately from results.

Low-scoring draws are corrected upward, which independent Poisson under-counts.

What this does not know

Injuries, suspensions, lineups, and in-play events are not accounted for.
Thin samples are pulled toward the league average until more is played.

How this prediction is calculated