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Premier League

00 · Overview

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02 · Match

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Premier League

Chelsea v Hull City

These figures may be out of date. Last updated 1:16 AM EDT

Scoreline

CHE

Chelsea

CHE

2–2

FT

Sat, Sep 12, 10:00 AM EDT

HUL

Hull City

HUL

Half time 1–2

Match record

4

Matchday

Played

Result status

Premier League

Competition

Projection

Prediction algorithm

Chelsea to win

51% most likely

1–1
Likely score: 1.97–1.32
Expected goals

CHE 51%
Draw 24%
HUL 24%

64%
Both teams score: 64%
Over 2.5 goals: 27%
CHE clean sheet: 14%
HUL clean sheet

Why

The home side scores 23% more often than the away side, relative to the league.
The away side has the tighter defensive record.

Events and statistics

Not tracked

Goal events, lineups, and shot statistics are outside what PitchIQ records. They are left out rather than estimated.

Chelsea v Hull City · PitchIQ

Expected goals: 1.97 for the home side, 1.32 for the away side.

Home and away scoring rates are estimated separately from results.

Low-scoring draws are corrected upward, which independent Poisson under-counts.

What this does not know

Injuries, suspensions, lineups, and in-play events are not accounted for.
Thin samples are pulled toward the league average until more is played.

How this prediction is calculated