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Premier League

00 · Overview

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02 · Match

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Premier League

Leeds United v Newcastle

These figures may be out of date. Last updated 1:20 AM EDT

Scoreline

LEE

Leeds United

LEE

4–1

FT

Mon, Sep 14, 3:00 PM EDT

NEW

Newcastle

NEW

Half time 3–0

Match record

4

Matchday

Played

Result status

Premier League

Competition

Projection

Prediction algorithm

Leeds United to win

53% most likely

1–1
Likely score: 1.84–1.13
Expected goals

LEE 53%
Draw 26%
NEW 22%

58%
Both teams score: 57%
Over 2.5 goals: 32%
LEE clean sheet: 16%
NEW clean sheet

Why

The home side has the tighter defensive record.
Expected goals: 1.84 for the home side, 1.13 for the away side.

Events and statistics

Not tracked

Goal events, lineups, and shot statistics are outside what PitchIQ records. They are left out rather than estimated.

Leeds United v Newcastle · PitchIQ

Home and away scoring rates are estimated separately from results.

Low-scoring draws are corrected upward, which independent Poisson under-counts.

What this does not know

Injuries, suspensions, lineups, and in-play events are not accounted for.
Thin samples are pulled toward the league average until more is played.

How this prediction is calculated