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Premier League

00 · Overview

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02 · Match

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Premier League

Bournemouth v Liverpool

These figures may be out of date. Last updated 2:57 AM EDT

Scoreline

BOU

Bournemouth

BOU

0–1

FT

Sun, Sep 20, 9:00 AM EDT

LIV

Liverpool

LIV

Half time 0–0

Match record

5

Matchday

Played

Result status

Premier League

Competition

Projection

Prediction algorithm

Liverpool to win

36% most likely

1–1
Likely score: 1.27–1.31
Expected goals

BOU 34%
Draw 30%
LIV 36%

54%
Both teams score: 48%
Over 2.5 goals: 27%
BOU clean sheet: 28%
LIV clean sheet

Why

Expected goals: 1.27 for the home side, 1.31 for the away side.
Home and away scoring rates are estimated separately from results.

Events and statistics

Not tracked

Goal events, lineups, and shot statistics are outside what PitchIQ records. They are left out rather than estimated.

Bournemouth v Liverpool · PitchIQ

Low-scoring draws are corrected upward, which independent Poisson under-counts.

What this does not know

Injuries, suspensions, lineups, and in-play events are not accounted for.
Thin samples are pulled toward the league average until more is played.

How this prediction is calculated