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Premier League

00 · Overview

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02 · Match

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Premier League

Man City v Sunderland

These figures may be out of date. Last updated 2:57 AM EDT

Scoreline

MCI

Man City

MCI

5–3

FT

Sun, Sep 20, 9:00 AM EDT

SUN

Sunderland

SUN

Half time 3–2

Match record

5

Matchday

Played

Result status

Premier League

Competition

Projection

Prediction algorithm

Man City to win

58% most likely

2–1
Likely score: 2.28–1.34
Expected goals

MCI 58%
Draw 22%
SUN 21%

67%
Both teams score: 70%
Over 2.5 goals: 26%
MCI clean sheet: 10%
SUN clean sheet

Why

The home side scores 34% more often than the away side, relative to the league.
The home side has the tighter defensive record.

Events and statistics

Not tracked

Goal events, lineups, and shot statistics are outside what PitchIQ records. They are left out rather than estimated.

Man City v Sunderland · PitchIQ

Expected goals: 2.28 for the home side, 1.34 for the away side.

Home and away scoring rates are estimated separately from results.

Low-scoring draws are corrected upward, which independent Poisson under-counts.

What this does not know

Injuries, suspensions, lineups, and in-play events are not accounted for.
Thin samples are pulled toward the league average until more is played.

How this prediction is calculated