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Premier League

00 · Overview

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02 · Match

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Premier League

Arsenal v Leeds United

These figures may be out of date. Last updated 1:16 AM EDT

Scoreline

ARS

Arsenal

ARS

2–1

FT

Sat, Oct 10, 7:30 AM EDT

LEE

Leeds United

LEE

Half time 0–0

Match record

6

Matchday

Played

Result status

Premier League

Competition

Projection

Prediction algorithm

Arsenal to win

48% most likely

1–1
Likely score: 1.63–1.09
Expected goals

ARS 48%
Draw 28%
LEE 24%

55%
Both teams score: 51%
Over 2.5 goals: 34%
ARS clean sheet: 20%
LEE clean sheet

Why

Expected goals: 1.63 for the home side, 1.09 for the away side.
Home and away scoring rates are estimated separately from results.

Events and statistics

Not tracked

Goal events, lineups, and shot statistics are outside what PitchIQ records. They are left out rather than estimated.

Low-scoring draws are corrected upward, which independent Poisson under-counts.

What this does not know

Injuries, suspensions, lineups, and in-play events are not accounted for.
Thin samples are pulled toward the league average until more is played.

How this prediction is calculated

Arsenal v Leeds United · PitchIQ