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Premier League

00 · Overview

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02 · Match

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Premier League

Sunderland v Brighton Hove

These figures may be out of date. Last updated 1:16 AM EDT

Scoreline

SUN

Sunderland

SUN

0–2

FT

Sat, Oct 10, 10:00 AM EDT

BHA

Brighton Hove

BHA

Half time 0–0

Match record

6

Matchday

Played

Result status

Premier League

Competition

Projection

Prediction algorithm

Brighton Hove to win

49% most likely

1–1
Likely score: 1.22–1.79
Expected goals

SUN 25%
Draw 26%
BHA 49%

60%
Both teams score: 58%
Over 2.5 goals: 17%
SUN clean sheet: 29%
BHA clean sheet

Why

The away side scores 44% more often than the home side, relative to the league.
The away side has the tighter defensive record.

Events and statistics

Not tracked

Goal events, lineups, and shot statistics are outside what PitchIQ records. They are left out rather than estimated.

Sunderland v Brighton Hove · PitchIQ

Expected goals: 1.22 for the home side, 1.79 for the away side.

Home and away scoring rates are estimated separately from results.

Low-scoring draws are corrected upward, which independent Poisson under-counts.

What this does not know

Injuries, suspensions, lineups, and in-play events are not accounted for.
Thin samples are pulled toward the league average until more is played.

How this prediction is calculated