Skip to content

00Overview 01Standings 02Predictions 03How it works

Premier League

00 · Overview

Loading 00 · overview

GitHub (opens in a new tab)
LinkedIn (opens in a new tab)
Portfolio (opens in a new tab)

Premier League© 2026 Adam

02 · Match

Loading 02 · match

Premier League

Chelsea v Bournemouth

These figures may be out of date. Last updated 1:16 AM EDT

Scoreline

CHE

Chelsea

CHE

5–1

FT

Sat, Oct 10, 10:00 AM EDT

BOU

Bournemouth

BOU

Half time 2–0

Match record

6

Matchday

Played

Result status

Premier League

Competition

Projection

Prediction algorithm

Chelsea to win

61% most likely

2–1
Likely score: 2.57–1.44
Expected goals

CHE 61%
Draw 20%
BOU 19%

71%
Both teams score: 76%
Over 2.5 goals: 24%
CHE clean sheet: 8%
BOU clean sheet

Why

The home side scores 20% more often than the away side, relative to the league.
Expected goals: 2.57 for the home side, 1.44 for the away side.

Events and statistics

Not tracked

Goal events, lineups, and shot statistics are outside what PitchIQ records. They are left out rather than estimated.

Chelsea v Bournemouth · PitchIQ

Home and away scoring rates are estimated separately from results.

Low-scoring draws are corrected upward, which independent Poisson under-counts.

What this does not know

Injuries, suspensions, lineups, and in-play events are not accounted for.
Thin samples are pulled toward the league average until more is played.

How this prediction is calculated