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Premier League

00 · Overview

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02 · Match

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Premier League

Ipswich Town v Fulham

These figures may be out of date. Last updated 1:16 AM EDT

Scoreline

IPS

Ipswich Town

IPS

2–1

FT

Sat, Oct 10, 10:00 AM EDT

FUL

Fulham

FUL

Half time 0–0

Match record

6

Matchday

Played

Result status

Premier League

Competition

Projection

Prediction algorithm

Ipswich Town to win

43% most likely

1–1
Likely score: 1.38–1.06
Expected goals

IPS 43%
Draw 30%
FUL 27%

50%
Both teams score: 44%
Over 2.5 goals: 35%
IPS clean sheet: 25%
FUL clean sheet

Why

Expected goals: 1.38 for the home side, 1.06 for the away side.
Home and away scoring rates are estimated separately from results.

Events and statistics

Not tracked

Goal events, lineups, and shot statistics are outside what PitchIQ records. They are left out rather than estimated.

Ipswich Town v Fulham · PitchIQ

Low-scoring draws are corrected upward, which independent Poisson under-counts.

What this does not know

Injuries, suspensions, lineups, and in-play events are not accounted for.
Thin samples are pulled toward the league average until more is played.

How this prediction is calculated