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Premier League

00 · Overview

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02 · Match

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Premier League

Liverpool v Man City

Updated 1:16 AM EDT

Scoreline

LIV

Liverpool

LIV

0–3

FT

Sun, Oct 11, 11:30 AM EDT

MCI

Man City

MCI

Half time 0–0

Match record

6

Matchday

Played

Result status

Premier League

Competition

Projection

Prediction algorithm

Man City to win

51% most likely

1–1
Likely score: 1.11–1.74
Expected goals

LIV 23%
Draw 27%
MCI 51%

57%
Both teams score: 54%
Over 2.5 goals: 18%
LIV clean sheet: 33%
MCI clean sheet

Why

The away side scores 26% more often than the home side, relative to the league.
Expected goals: 1.11 for the home side, 1.74 for the away side.

Events and statistics

Not tracked

Goal events, lineups, and shot statistics are outside what PitchIQ records. They are left out rather than estimated.

Liverpool v Man City · PitchIQ

Home and away scoring rates are estimated separately from results.

Low-scoring draws are corrected upward, which independent Poisson under-counts.

What this does not know

Injuries, suspensions, lineups, and in-play events are not accounted for.
Thin samples are pulled toward the league average until more is played.

How this prediction is calculated