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Premier League

00 · Overview

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02 · Match

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Premier League

Coventry City v Newcastle

Updated 1:16 AM EDT

Scoreline

COV

Coventry City

COV

4–1

FT

Mon, Oct 12, 3:00 PM EDT

NEW

Newcastle

NEW

Half time 1–0

Match record

6

Matchday

Played

Result status

Premier League

Competition

Projection

Prediction algorithm

Coventry City to win

45% most likely

1–1
Likely score: 1.87–1.52
Expected goals

COV 45%
Draw 25%
NEW 30%

67%
Both teams score: 66%
Over 2.5 goals: 22%
COV clean sheet: 15%
NEW clean sheet

Why

Expected goals: 1.87 for the home side, 1.52 for the away side.
Home and away scoring rates are estimated separately from results.

Events and statistics

Not tracked

Goal events, lineups, and shot statistics are outside what PitchIQ records. They are left out rather than estimated.

Coventry City v Newcastle · PitchIQ

Low-scoring draws are corrected upward, which independent Poisson under-counts.

What this does not know

Injuries, suspensions, lineups, and in-play events are not accounted for.
Thin samples are pulled toward the league average until more is played.

How this prediction is calculated