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Premier League

00 · Overview

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02 · Match

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Premier League

Chelsea v Tottenham

Updated 1:16 AM EDT

Scoreline

CHE

Chelsea

CHE

vs

Scheduled

Sat, Oct 24, 12:30 PM EDT

TOT

Tottenham

TOT

Match record

8

Matchday

Not played

Result status

No score exists yet for this fixture

Premier League

Competition

Projection

Prediction algorithm

Chelsea to win

55% most likely

1–1
Likely score: 2.00–1.20
Expected goals

CHE 55%
Draw 24%
TOT 21%

62%
Both teams score: 62%
Over 2.5 goals: 30%
CHE clean sheet: 13%
TOT clean sheet

Why

The home side scores 28% more often than the away side, relative to the league.
Expected goals: 2.00 for the home side, 1.20 for the away side.

Events and statistics

Not tracked

Goal events, lineups, and shot statistics are outside what PitchIQ records. They are left out rather than estimated.

Chelsea v Tottenham · PitchIQ

Home and away scoring rates are estimated separately from results.

Low-scoring draws are corrected upward, which independent Poisson under-counts.

What this does not know

Injuries, suspensions, lineups, and in-play events are not accounted for.
Thin samples are pulled toward the league average until more is played.

How this prediction is calculated