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Premier League

00 · Overview

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02 · Match

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Premier League

Crystal Palace v Newcastle

Updated 1:16 AM EDT

Scoreline

CRY

Crystal Palace

CRY

vs

Scheduled

Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM EDT

NEW

Newcastle

NEW

Match record

8

Matchday

Not played

Result status

No score exists yet for this fixture

Premier League

Competition

Projection

Prediction algorithm

Crystal Palace to win

47% most likely

1–1
Likely score: 2.02–1.58
Expected goals

CRY 47%
Draw 24%
NEW 29%

70%
Both teams score: 70%
Over 2.5 goals: 21%
CRY clean sheet: 13%
NEW clean sheet

Why

Expected goals: 2.02 for the home side, 1.58 for the away side.
Home and away scoring rates are estimated separately from results.

Events and statistics

Not tracked

Goal events, lineups, and shot statistics are outside what PitchIQ records. They are left out rather than estimated.

Low-scoring draws are corrected upward, which independent Poisson under-counts.

What this does not know

Injuries, suspensions, lineups, and in-play events are not accounted for.
Thin samples are pulled toward the league average until more is played.

How this prediction is calculated

Crystal Palace v Newcastle · PitchIQ