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Premier League

00 · Overview

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02 · Match

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Premier League

Man United v Bournemouth

Updated 1:16 AM EDT

Scoreline

MUN

Man United

MUN

vs

Scheduled

Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM EDT

BOU

Bournemouth

BOU

Match record

8

Matchday

Not played

Result status

No score exists yet for this fixture

Premier League

Competition

Projection

Prediction algorithm

Man United to win

53% most likely

1–1
Likely score: 2.04–1.29
Expected goals

MUN 53%
Draw 24%
BOU 23%

64%
Both teams score: 65%
Over 2.5 goals: 27%
MUN clean sheet: 13%
BOU clean sheet

Why

Expected goals: 2.04 for the home side, 1.29 for the away side.
Home and away scoring rates are estimated separately from results.

Events and statistics

Not tracked

Goal events, lineups, and shot statistics are outside what PitchIQ records. They are left out rather than estimated.

Man United v Bournemouth · PitchIQ

Low-scoring draws are corrected upward, which independent Poisson under-counts.

What this does not know

Injuries, suspensions, lineups, and in-play events are not accounted for.
Thin samples are pulled toward the league average until more is played.

How this prediction is calculated