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Premier League

00 · Overview

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02 · Match

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Premier League

Sunderland v Leeds United

Updated 1:16 AM EDT

Scoreline

SUN

Sunderland

SUN

vs

Scheduled

Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM EDT

LEE

Leeds United

LEE

Match record

8

Matchday

Not played

Result status

No score exists yet for this fixture

Premier League

Competition

Projection

Prediction algorithm

Leeds United to win

36% most likely

1–1
Likely score: 1.20–1.24
Expected goals

SUN 34%
Draw 31%
LEE 36%

52%
Both teams score: 44%
Over 2.5 goals: 29%
SUN clean sheet: 30%
LEE clean sheet

Why

The away side has the tighter defensive record.
Expected goals: 1.20 for the home side, 1.24 for the away side.

Events and statistics

Not tracked

Goal events, lineups, and shot statistics are outside what PitchIQ records. They are left out rather than estimated.

Sunderland v Leeds United · PitchIQ

Home and away scoring rates are estimated separately from results.

Low-scoring draws are corrected upward, which independent Poisson under-counts.

What this does not know

Injuries, suspensions, lineups, and in-play events are not accounted for.
Thin samples are pulled toward the league average until more is played.

How this prediction is calculated