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Premier League

00 · Overview

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02 · Match

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Premier League

Chelsea v Man United

Updated 1:16 AM EDT

Scoreline

CHE

Chelsea

CHE

vs

Scheduled

Sat, Oct 31, 8:30 AM EDT

MUN

Man United

MUN

Match record

9

Matchday

Not played

Result status

No score exists yet for this fixture

Premier League

Competition

Projection

Prediction algorithm

Chelsea to win

52% most likely

1–1
Likely score: 2.04–1.35
Expected goals

CHE 52%
Draw 24%
MUN 24%

66%
Both teams score: 66%
Over 2.5 goals: 26%
CHE clean sheet: 13%
MUN clean sheet

Why

The home side scores 19% more often than the away side, relative to the league.
Expected goals: 2.04 for the home side, 1.35 for the away side.

Events and statistics

Not tracked

Goal events, lineups, and shot statistics are outside what PitchIQ records. They are left out rather than estimated.

Chelsea v Man United · PitchIQ

Home and away scoring rates are estimated separately from results.

Low-scoring draws are corrected upward, which independent Poisson under-counts.

What this does not know

Injuries, suspensions, lineups, and in-play events are not accounted for.
Thin samples are pulled toward the league average until more is played.

How this prediction is calculated