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Premier League

00 · Overview

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02 · Match

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Premier League

Man City v Brighton Hove

Updated 1:16 AM EDT

Scoreline

MCI

Man City

MCI

vs

Scheduled

Sat, Oct 31, 11:00 AM EDT

BHA

Brighton Hove

BHA

Match record

9

Matchday

Not played

Result status

No score exists yet for this fixture

Premier League

Competition

Projection

Prediction algorithm

Brighton Hove to win

39% most likely

1–1
Likely score: 1.84–1.86
Expected goals

MCI 38%
Draw 24%
BHA 39%

72%
Both teams score: 72%
Over 2.5 goals: 16%
MCI clean sheet: 16%
BHA clean sheet

Why

Expected goals: 1.84 for the home side, 1.86 for the away side.
Home and away scoring rates are estimated separately from results.

Events and statistics

Not tracked

Goal events, lineups, and shot statistics are outside what PitchIQ records. They are left out rather than estimated.

Low-scoring draws are corrected upward, which independent Poisson under-counts.

What this does not know

Injuries, suspensions, lineups, and in-play events are not accounted for.
Thin samples are pulled toward the league average until more is played.

How this prediction is calculated

Man City v Brighton Hove · PitchIQ