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Premier League

00 · Overview

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02 · Match

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Premier League

Brentford v Nottingham

Updated 1:16 AM EDT

Scoreline

BRE

Brentford

BRE

vs

Scheduled

Sat, Oct 31, 11:00 AM EDT

NOT

Nottingham

NOT

Match record

9

Matchday

Not played

Result status

No score exists yet for this fixture

Premier League

Competition

Projection

Prediction algorithm

Brentford to win

49% most likely

1–1
Likely score: 1.75–1.19
Expected goals

BRE 49%
Draw 26%
NOT 25%

59%
Both teams score: 56%
Over 2.5 goals: 30%
BRE clean sheet: 17%
NOT clean sheet

Why

The home side scores 19% more often than the away side, relative to the league.
Expected goals: 1.75 for the home side, 1.19 for the away side.

Events and statistics

Not tracked

Goal events, lineups, and shot statistics are outside what PitchIQ records. They are left out rather than estimated.

Home and away scoring rates are estimated separately from results.

Low-scoring draws are corrected upward, which independent Poisson under-counts.

What this does not know

Injuries, suspensions, lineups, and in-play events are not accounted for.
Thin samples are pulled toward the league average until more is played.

How this prediction is calculated

Brentford v Nottingham · PitchIQ