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Premier League

00 · Overview

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02 · Match

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Premier League

Liverpool v Arsenal

Updated 1:16 AM EDT

Scoreline

LIV

Liverpool

LIV

vs

Scheduled

Sun, Nov 1, 11:30 AM EST

ARS

Arsenal

ARS

Match record

9

Matchday

Not played

Result status

No score exists yet for this fixture

Premier League

Competition

Projection

Prediction algorithm

Arsenal to win

38% most likely

1–1
Likely score: 1.15–1.30
Expected goals

LIV 31%
Draw 31%
ARS 38%

51%
Both teams score: 44%
Over 2.5 goals: 27%
LIV clean sheet: 32%
ARS clean sheet

Why

Expected goals: 1.15 for the home side, 1.30 for the away side.
Home and away scoring rates are estimated separately from results.

Events and statistics

Not tracked

Goal events, lineups, and shot statistics are outside what PitchIQ records. They are left out rather than estimated.

Liverpool v Arsenal · PitchIQ

Low-scoring draws are corrected upward, which independent Poisson under-counts.

What this does not know

Injuries, suspensions, lineups, and in-play events are not accounted for.
Thin samples are pulled toward the league average until more is played.

How this prediction is calculated