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Premier League

00 · Overview

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02 · Match

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Premier League

Newcastle v Liverpool

These figures may be out of date. Last updated 1:16 AM EDT

Scoreline

NEW

Newcastle

NEW

2–2

FT

Sun, Aug 23, 11:30 AM EDT

LIV

Liverpool

LIV

Half time 1–0

Match record

1

Matchday

Played

Result status

Premier League

Competition

Projection

Prediction algorithm

Liverpool to win

40% most likely

1–1
Likely score: 1.30–1.47
Expected goals

NEW 32%
Draw 28%
LIV 40%

58%
Both teams score: 52%
Over 2.5 goals: 23%
NEW clean sheet: 27%
LIV clean sheet

Why

The away side has the tighter defensive record.
Expected goals: 1.30 for the home side, 1.47 for the away side.

Events and statistics

Not tracked

Goal events, lineups, and shot statistics are outside what PitchIQ records. They are left out rather than estimated.

Newcastle v Liverpool · PitchIQ

Home and away scoring rates are estimated separately from results.

Low-scoring draws are corrected upward, which independent Poisson under-counts.

What this does not know

Injuries, suspensions, lineups, and in-play events are not accounted for.
Thin samples are pulled toward the league average until more is played.

How this prediction is calculated