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Premier League

00 · Overview

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02 · Match

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Premier League

Newcastle v Everton

Updated 1:16 AM EDT

Scoreline

NEW

Newcastle

NEW

vs

Scheduled

Mon, Nov 2, 3:00 PM EST

EVE

Everton

EVE

Match record

9

Matchday

Not played

Result status

No score exists yet for this fixture

Premier League

Competition

Projection

Prediction algorithm

Newcastle to win

39% most likely

1–1
Likely score: 1.42–1.28
Expected goals

NEW 39%
Draw 29%
EVE 32%

56%
Both teams score: 51%
Over 2.5 goals: 28%
NEW clean sheet: 24%
EVE clean sheet

Why

The away side has the tighter defensive record.
Expected goals: 1.42 for the home side, 1.28 for the away side.

Events and statistics

Not tracked

Goal events, lineups, and shot statistics are outside what PitchIQ records. They are left out rather than estimated.

Newcastle v Everton · PitchIQ

Home and away scoring rates are estimated separately from results.

Low-scoring draws are corrected upward, which independent Poisson under-counts.

What this does not know

Injuries, suspensions, lineups, and in-play events are not accounted for.
Thin samples are pulled toward the league average until more is played.

How this prediction is calculated