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Premier League

00 · Overview

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02 · Match

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Premier League

Arsenal v Hull City

Updated 1:16 AM EDT

Scoreline

ARS

Arsenal

ARS

vs

Scheduled

Sat, Nov 7, 10:00 AM EST

HUL

Hull City

HUL

Match record

10

Matchday

Not played

Result status

No score exists yet for this fixture

Premier League

Competition

Projection

Prediction algorithm

Arsenal to win

50% most likely

1–1
Likely score: 1.65–1.06
Expected goals

ARS 50%
Draw 27%
HUL 23%

54%
Both teams score: 51%
Over 2.5 goals: 35%
ARS clean sheet: 19%
HUL clean sheet

Why

Expected goals: 1.65 for the home side, 1.06 for the away side.
Home and away scoring rates are estimated separately from results.

Events and statistics

Not tracked

Goal events, lineups, and shot statistics are outside what PitchIQ records. They are left out rather than estimated.

Arsenal v Hull City · PitchIQ

Low-scoring draws are corrected upward, which independent Poisson under-counts.

What this does not know

Injuries, suspensions, lineups, and in-play events are not accounted for.
Thin samples are pulled toward the league average until more is played.

How this prediction is calculated