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Premier League

00 · Overview

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02 · Match

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Premier League

Fulham v Newcastle

Updated 1:16 AM EDT

Scoreline

FUL

Fulham

FUL

vs

Scheduled

Sat, Nov 7, 10:00 AM EST

NEW

Newcastle

NEW

Match record

10

Matchday

Not played

Result status

No score exists yet for this fixture

Premier League

Competition

Projection

Prediction algorithm

Fulham to win

47% most likely

1–1
Likely score: 1.84–1.38
Expected goals

FUL 47%
Draw 25%
NEW 28%

64%
Both teams score: 62%
Over 2.5 goals: 25%
FUL clean sheet: 16%
NEW clean sheet

Why

Expected goals: 1.84 for the home side, 1.38 for the away side.
Home and away scoring rates are estimated separately from results.

Events and statistics

Not tracked

Goal events, lineups, and shot statistics are outside what PitchIQ records. They are left out rather than estimated.

Low-scoring draws are corrected upward, which independent Poisson under-counts.

What this does not know

Injuries, suspensions, lineups, and in-play events are not accounted for.
Thin samples are pulled toward the league average until more is played.

How this prediction is calculated

Fulham v Newcastle · PitchIQ