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Premier League

00 · Overview

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02 · Match

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Premier League

Nottingham v Man City

Updated 1:16 AM EDT

Scoreline

NOT

Nottingham

NOT

vs

Scheduled

Sat, Nov 7, 12:30 PM EST

MCI

Man City

MCI

Match record

10

Matchday

Not played

Result status

No score exists yet for this fixture

Premier League

Competition

Projection

Prediction algorithm

Man City to win

47% most likely

1–1
Likely score: 0.92–1.42
Expected goals

NOT 23%
Draw 30%
MCI 47%

47%
Both teams score: 41%
Over 2.5 goals: 24%
NOT clean sheet: 40%
MCI clean sheet

Why

The away side scores 36% more often than the home side, relative to the league.
Expected goals: 0.92 for the home side, 1.42 for the away side.

Events and statistics

Not tracked

Goal events, lineups, and shot statistics are outside what PitchIQ records. They are left out rather than estimated.

Nottingham v Man City · PitchIQ

Home and away scoring rates are estimated separately from results.

Low-scoring draws are corrected upward, which independent Poisson under-counts.

What this does not know

Injuries, suspensions, lineups, and in-play events are not accounted for.
Thin samples are pulled toward the league average until more is played.

How this prediction is calculated